Subject: Re: Major Earthquakes - Over the Past 80 Years - Loren Date: Sun, 09 Oct 2005 21:48:19 +0100 From: Ray Dickenson Loren, thanks again, bit more this time. Hadn't bothered to do a backward check before ('cos was sure of basic principles). Half an hour ago did just that, using your list and, while confirming basic principles, it also brought up a surprise (which _maybe_ could have anticipated). BTW - anyone can do the check online, with John Walker's Instant Orrery at http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar/action?sys=-Sf - just type in the dates [you'll probably want the Moon phases - at http://tycho.usno.navy.mil/vphase.html - it's easier than trying to work out from bearings.] (or you can download your own copy of his `Home Planet' Planetarium & Orrery software - it's quite small and easy to use and'll definitely give you more info - at http://www.fourmilab.ch/homeplanet/) Surprise result? Well - vast majority _were_ triggered by New or Full Moon (inc. eclipses) BUT New Moon (inc. eclipse of Sun) effects generally came a few days later than I'd expected: one, two, or three (but four maybe five on rare occasion - list gives no times). While the Full Moon triggered effects much sooner, within first day or so in almost all its cases! [BTW - careful - Sept 1999 trigger was merely an alignment with departing Venus, which was still very close and had triggered the August (New Moon - eclipse) quakes in Greece, Turkey, EurAsia. Still, it's an example, if it was needed, of how powerful the close presence of Mars or Venus can be.] [[Notes on alignments - as Moon moves through its approximate `quarters' it lines up with a nearing or departing Venus or Mars several times during the period (month or three) that each planet is at closest approach. Potentially strongest is of course where Earth and Venus or Mars line up with Sun plus a full / new moon / eclipse. We're almost at peak of Mars period now (as you can see) - and there's Venus coming up month or two after that's all over. Venus can have even more tectonic effects than Mars - see August 1999 eclipse plus subsequent Venus alignment; it led to chain of catastrophic quakes from S.E Europe / Turkey / EurAsia thru to Pacific - Taiwan / Japan (ie approximate `track' of eclipse shadow.]] Thanks again Loren, cheers Ray D Loren Coleman wrote: > http://ap.tbo.com/ap/breaking/MGB5GN2FLEE.html > Sunday, October 9, 2005 > Major Earthquakes Around the World Over the Past 80 Years > Published: Oct 9, 2005 > Wondering how this earthquake compares to others? Here's a list of deadly > quakes during the past 80 years: > - Oct. 7, 2005: Pakistan, India and Afghanistan, magnitude 7.6; between > 20,000 and 30,000 feared dead > - Dec. 26, 2004: Indian Ocean, magnitude 9; more than 174,000 people killed, > another 106,000 missing. > - Dec. 26, 2003: Southeastern Iran, Bam, magnitude 6.5; more than 26,000 > killed. > - May 21, 2003: Northern Algeria, magnitude 6.8; nearly 2,300 killed. > - March 25, 2002: Northern Afghanistan, magnitude 5.8; up to 1,000 killed. > - Jan. 26, 2001: India, magnitude 7.9; at least 2,500 killed. Estimates put > death toll as high as 13,000. > - Sept. 21, 1999: Taiwan, magnitude 7.6; 2,400 killed. > - Aug. 17, 1999: Western Turkey, magnitude 7.4; 17,000 killed. > - Jan. 25, 1999: Western Colombia, magnitude 6; 1,171 killed. > - May 30, 1998: Northern Afghanistan and Tajikistan, magnitude 6.9; as many > as 5,000 killed. > - Jan. 17, 1995: Kobe, Japan, magnitude 7.2; more than 6,000 killed. > - Sept. 30, 1993: Latur, India, magnitude 6.0; as many as 10,000 killed. > - June 21, 1990: Northwest Iran, magnitude 7.3-7.7; 50,000 killed. > - Dec. 7, 1988: Northwest Armenia, magnitude 6.9; 25,000 killed. > - Sept. 19, 1985: Central Mexico, magnitude 8.1; more than 9,500 killed. > - Sept. 16, 1978: Northeast Iran, magnitude 7.7; 25,000 killed. > - July 28, 1976: Tangshan, China; magnitude 7.8-8.2; 240,000 killed. > - Feb. 4, 1976: Guatemala, magnitude 7.5; 22,778 killed. > - Feb. 29, 1960: Southwest Atlantic coast in Morocco; magnitude 5.7; some > 12,000 killed, town of Agadir destroyed. > - Dec. 26, 1939: Erzincan province, Turkey, magnitude 7.9; 33,000 killed. > - Jan. 24, 1939: Chillan, Chile, magnitude 8.3; 28,000 killed. > - May 31, 1935: Quetta, India, magnitude 7.5; 50,000 killed. > - Sept. 1, 1923: Tokyo-Yokohama, Japan, magnitude 8.3; at least 140,000 > killed. > AP-ES-10-09-05 1032EDT ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ "Perceptions" http://www.perceptions.couk.com ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ --------------------------------------------- Add. - occasional forecasts at www.perceptions.couk.com/uef/checkalign.html --------------------------------------------- FURTHER REFERENCES GO - "search perceptions" - in SEARCH-ENGINE file-ID www.perceptions.couk.com/uef/ueforc.txt