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SEISMIC / TECTONIC TRIGGERS:-
check forthcoming alignments of Sun, Earth & Moon - usually with Venus or Mars, but with Jupiter and maybe Saturn also.
FULL / NEW Moon alone will produce seismic triggers - increasing with accuracy of alignment - i.e. with nearness to a total ECLIPSE.
Results so far indicate FULL Moon gives faster effects than NEW.
When an eclipse of Sun is followed by an eclipse of Moon (or vice versa) it just means the Moon is temporarily orbitting in line with the `ecliptic': the Earth - Sun line.
Current Moon phase
Any date Moon phase
NASA Eclipse Data
NASA Lunar Eclipse Data
Depending on accumulated tensions and `stickability' of fault, reactions might be fast - even a few hours in advance of alignment - or take a day or so to develop after alignment.
Seismic effects of alignment of Moon (in first or last quarter) with nearing or departing Venus (which overtakes us on inside lane, like Earth overtakes Mars) can be significant for month or so before or after Venus passes Earth.
CALIBRATION - suggest using August 1999 eclipse and following Earth - Moon - Venus alignment (see image below) as a "significant / severe" seismic trigger - check initial quakes forecast and explanation.
| ☿ Mercury |
♀ Venus |
♁ Earth |
♂ Mars |
♃ Jupiter |
♄ Saturn |
♅ Uranus |
♆ Neptune |
♇ Pluto |
SOLAR STORMS:-
check forthcoming alignments of two or more planets with the Sun.
CALIBRATION - suggest using May 2000 planetary line-up (mentioned here, and seen in image below) as "significant / severe" sunspot trigger - see our forecast.
As implied, that extended alignment - (see that Mercury and Mars went through ahead of Venus / Jupiter / Saturn) - was direct cause of the `peak' of a complete sunspot cycle.
When forecasting: - Sun's equator rotates once in approximately 25 days, other latitudes more slowly; that's why that `sunspot cycle peak' took about 12 / 13 days to come round to face us.
1 - 2 September 1859 - A solar "super-storm" - see NASA report.
At foot is expert's quote when asked if another giant flare is coming; he said "Yes - As for when, we simply do not know".
Well, if we look at planetary line-up about one week _before_ the 1859 explosion -
- you might be able to forecast one - Yes?
TOOLS:-
a) Downloadable - John Walker's Home Planet Orrery - View Solar System at any time.
b) Online - John Walker's Instant Orrery. For a view of Solar System @ any time.
If using on-line orrery you'll probably want Moon phases - available in easy-to-see images at tycho.usno.navy.mil/vphase.html (where you can also check how the Moon was on your birthday) - but the downloadable orrery also has all the images and info you need.
c) Online - John Walker's Your Sky. For a sky-view (Stars, Planets Moon) @ any time / any location (City or Latitude / Longitude).
Sincere thanks to John Walker.
d) Professor Aldo Vitagliano's SOLEX - available as a zip file at this location and others. Here's the professor's introduction - It's two celestial mechanics programs - with solar system dynamics plotter, for accurate definition of alignments and timings. Has ability to trace `track' on face of Earth.
The Professor tells us (03 July 2003) that:-
"It is now possible to search for multiple planetary grouping .... I would suggest that you first read the documentation carefully (file SOLEX85.RTF in the subdirectory DOCS), especially section 3.12 (pp. 8-10)"
Sincere thanks also to Professor Vitagliano.
CANDIDATES:-
1) Regular - monthly alignments of Sun / Earth / Moon.
I.e. ALL FULL / NEW MOONS - especially eclipses - here's Moon schedules and eclipse forecasts.
Current Moon phase
Any date Moon phase
2) Earth / Moon alignments with passing Venus (Mars less) or with Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus (seismic 2 - 5 days)
3) Combinations of 1 & 2, see above.
4) Solar - alignments of two or more planets, see `solar' above.
Don't forget slow solar rotation - once in c. 3.5 weeks, at the equator. Or, it takes ~12/13 days for a sunspot generated back-side of Sun to rotate to face us.
Correlation and Forecasts:-
Background (2005)
80 year back-check correlations
Quick Survey of '07's Moons
Later Venus (2007) and advance warn for August / Sept '07
Eclipse review - and advance warn for Dec '07 / Jan '08
OCCASIONAL FORECASTS at NEWS - UPDATES
VERIFY:-
QUAKE REPORTS
WORLD TODAY & WEEK - LIST (latest) - USGS
click `MAP' for simple picture; click `DATE FORMAT' for details & Google Map
WORLD MONTH - LIST & MAP - USGS
smaller quakes on "WEEK" edited out selectively on "MONTH" - neic.usgs.gov/neis/finger/qk_info.html scroll to "criteria"
ASSESS ANY DAY'S REPORT
More or Less quakes than other days?
More quakes < 3.0 Mag? - USUAL
More quakes > 3.0 Mag? - UNUSUAL
Location _not_ in `Ring of Fire'? - UNUSUAL
MAGNITUDE? (MAG)
Comparison Figures are given at neic.usgs.gov/neis/eqlists/how_much_bigger.html
it's LOGARITHMIC - so high ones are scarier than you'd think.
SOLAR
DAILY SUNSPOT IMAGE - from SOHO - Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
SOLAR WEATHER REPORTS from "SpaceWeather"
Hey! - don't forget that slow solar rotation - once in c. 3.5 weeks, at the equator
EXTERNAL UPDATE - Here's mainstream science beginning to play catch-up.
LUNAR:-
Human / animal conception - Fertility page
Planting - Keith's Moon Planting Page; - Gardening by the Moon
Fishing (& observing / hunting) - here, here, here
Repeat :- FULL / NEW Moon produces seismic triggers -
increasing with accuracy of alignment - i.e. nearness to a total ECLIPSE
Current Moon phase Any date Moon phase
NASA Eclipse Data NASA Lunar Eclipse Data
Sky and earth both produce portents;
though appearing separately, they are not separate
sky and earth are related
Babylonian astronomer's manual c.800 BCE
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