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Alignment Checks

SEISMIC       SOLAR       TOOLS       CANDIDATES       VERIFY       LUNAR


SEISMIC / TECTONIC TRIGGERS:-
check forthcoming alignments of Sun, Earth & Moon - usually with Venus or Mars, but with Jupiter and maybe Saturn also.

FULL / NEW Moon alone will produce seismic triggers - increasing with accuracy of alignment; i.e. with nearness to a total ECLIPSE, and with the distance of the moon [perigee].

Results so far indicate FULL Moon gives quite speedy effects - usually beginning within 24 hours or so, while the NEW Moon seems to produce most triggers up to a day or three later.  Even so, if pressures are high, the induced quakes can happen a bit ahead of the actual alignment!

[A quick check for up-coming alignments of Moon-Earth with Venus or Mars or Jupiter is easiest done by running John Walker's down-load Home Planet Orrery forward in time;  or by using the on-line Quick View Orrery  (easier if you choose `equal orbits') and setting it for future dates.
A detailed (amd more accurate) check of actual alignment will need a program like Prof. Vitagliano's SOLEX (details below)]


Current Moon phase
Any date Moon phase
Lunar Phase Simulator
NASA Eclipse Data
NASA Lunar Eclipse Data

Depending on accumulated stresses and strains, and `stickability' of faults, reactions might be fast - even a few hours in advance of alignment - or take a day or so to develop after alignment.  BTW - `seismic / tectonic activity' also includes volcanoes.

Seismic effects of the Moon directly or oppositely aligning with a nearing or departing Venus (which overtakes us on the `inside lane' like Earth overtakes Mars), or with Mars itself,  can be significant for a while before and after Venus passes Earth, or Earth passes Mars.  Except for eclipses or near-eclipses, such alignments happen in the `quarters of the Moon', depending on the Venus (or Mars) angle.
I.e. - at or ~c. around 45°, 135°, 225°, and 315°.

The closer Venus (or Mars) gets to Earth when Moon aligns, and the more exact the alignments, the larger the triggers;  biggest, for example, when Venus crosses the Sun at same time as Full/New Moon, most especially if it's an ECLIPSE.


CALIBRATION - suggest using August 1999 eclipse and immediately following Earth - Moon - Venus alignment , which caused quakes to follow the `eclipse track', from 11th Aug. (Greece) thru 20th Sept. - biggest in Turkey on 17th Aug but extending to Taiwan on 20th Sept (see image below); as a "significant / severe" seismic trigger - check initial quakes forecast and explanation.
Eclipse and then Venus alignment

Orrery images from John Walker's `Home Planet'
Quick-view at www.fourmilab.ch - Maybe go "full system" + "equal orbits"
SUN
Sun
MERCURY
Mercury
VENUS
Venus
EARTH
Earth
MARS
Mars
JUPITER
Jupiter
SATURN
Saturn
URANUS
Uranus
NEPTUNE
Neptune
PLUTO
Pluto




SOLAR STORMS:-
check forthcoming alignments of two or more planets with the Sun.

CALIBRATION - suggest using May 2000 planetary line-up (mentioned here, and seen in image below) as "significant / severe" sunspot trigger - see our forecast.
As implied, that extended alignment - (see that Mercury and Mars went through ahead of Venus / Jupiter / Saturn) - was direct cause of the `peak' of a complete sunspot cycle.

NASA Prediction SOLAR CYCLE #24 UPDATE - 2013
Intn'l Panel Prediction SOLAR CYCLE #24
CHECK SUNSPOT CYCLE - from c. 1750-2010
INTERACTIVE SUNSPOT PLOTTER - from 1755-2010

May 2000 line-up


When forecasting: - Sun's equator rotates once in approximately 25 days, other latitudes more slowly; that's why that `sunspot cycle peak' took about 12 / 13 days to come round to face us.




2 September 1859 - A solar "super-storm" - see NASA report.

At the bottom is the expert's answer when asked if another giant flare is coming;  he said "Yes - As for when, we simply do not know".

Well, if we look at the planetary line-up about one week _before_ the 1859 explosion

27 August 1859

- you might be able to forecast one - Yes?
(Don't forget slow solar rotation - once in c. 3.5 weeks, at the equator. Or, it takes ~12 to 13 days for a sunspot generated back-side of Sun to rotate to face us.)

Orrery images from John Walker's `Home Planet'
Quick-view at www.fourmilab.ch - Maybe go "full system" + "equal orbits"
SUN
Sun
MERCURY
Mercury
VENUS
Venus
EARTH
Earth
MARS
Mars
JUPITER
Jupiter
SATURN
Saturn
URANUS
Uranus
NEPTUNE
Neptune
PLUTO
Pluto


NASA Prediction SOLAR CYCLE #24 UPDATE - 2013
Intn'l Panel Prediction SOLAR CYCLE #24
CHECK SUNSPOT CYCLE - from c. 1750-2010
INTERACTIVE SUNSPOT PLOTTER - from 1755-2010

Our calculations, and the work of J H Nelson (1940), says that the sunspot cycle is (almost) entirely due to the periodic close alignments and lesser partial alignments of the planets of the solar system.  I.e - periods with fewer alignments are going to be periods of less sunspots / solar activity.





TOOLS:-
a) Downloadable - John Walker's Home Planet Orrery - View Solar System at any time.

b) Online - John Walker's Instant Orrery. For a view of Solar System @ any time.

If using on-line orrery you'll probably want Moon phases - available in easy-to-see images at tycho.usno.navy.mil/vphase.html (where you can also check how the Moon was on your birthday) - but the downloadable orrery also has all the images and info you need.

c) Online - John Walker's Your Sky. For a sky-view (Stars, Planets Moon) @ any time / any location (City or Latitude / Longitude).

Sincere thanks to John Walker.


d) Professor Aldo Vitagliano's SOLEX - available as a zip file at this location and others.

It's two celestial mechanics programs - with solar system dynamics plotter, for accurate definition of alignments and timings. Has ability to trace `track' on face of Earth.

The Professor tells us (03 July 2003) that:-
"It is now possible to search for multiple planetary grouping .... I would suggest that you first read the documentation carefully (file SOLEX85.RTF in the subdirectory DOCS), especially section 3.12 (pp. 8-10)"

Sincere thanks also to Professor Vitagliano.





CANDIDATES:-

1) Regular - monthly alignments of Sun / Earth / Moon.
I.e. ALL FULL / NEW MOONS - especially eclipses - here's Moon schedules and eclipse forecasts.

Current Moon phase
Any date Moon phase

2) Earth / Moon alignments with passing Venus (Mars less) or with Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus (seismic 2 - 5 days)

3) Combinations of 1 & 2, see above.

4) Solar - alignments of two or more planets, see `solar' above.

Don't forget slow solar rotation - once in c. 3.5 weeks, at the equator. Or, it takes ~12 to 13 days for a sunspot generated back-side of Sun to rotate to face us.





Correlation and Forecasts:-

Background (2005)

80 year back-check correlations

Quick Survey of '07's Moons

Early June 08 - New Moon and Earth / Mercury / Sun / Venus


OCCASIONAL FORECASTS at NEWS - UPDATES


All ORRERY images provided by John Walker's `Home Planet'


Full Moon / New Moon Reminders / Forecasts





VERIFY:-

QUAKE REPORTS
LATEST QUAKES WORLDWIDE MAG 4+ - CSEM-EMSC

LAST DAY'S QUAKES MAG 2.5+ - USGS
30 DAYS - SIGNIFICANT QUAKES - USGS

LATEST YEAR'S SIGNIFICANT QUAKES - USGS Archives

ASSESS ANY DAY'S REPORT
More or Less quakes than other days?
More quakes < 3.0 Mag? - USUAL
More quakes > 3.0 Mag? - UNUSUAL
Location _not_ in `Ring of Fire'? - UNUSUAL

MAGNITUDE / INTENSITY
Measuring Earthquakes - Intensity vs. Magnitude
Magnitude Scales



SOLAR
REPORTS
SOLAR WEATHER REPORTS - from "SpaceWeather"
SOLAR CYCLE PREDICTION - from NASA - MSFC
DAILY SUNSPOT IMAGE - from SOHO - Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
THE SUN NOW - from S.D.O - Solar Dynamics Observatory
SUNSPOTS - from S.I.D.C. (Belgium)

IN-DEPTH
Current Space Weather Conditions [Solar - NOAA]
Latest SOHO Images [Solar - NASCOM]

BACKGROUND
CHECK SUNSPOT CYCLE - from c. 1750-2010
INTERACTIVE SUNSPOT PLOTTER - from 1755-2010

Hey! - don't forget that slow solar rotation - once in c. 3.5 weeks, at the equator

EXTERNAL UPDATE - Here's mainstream science beginning to play catch-up.




MOONMOON PHASEPHASE



LUNAR:-

Human / animal conception - Fertility page

Planting - Keith's Moon Planting Page; - Gardening by the Moon

Fishing/Hunting - here and here

Repeat :- FULL / NEW Moon produces seismic triggers -
increasing with accuracy of alignment - i.e. nearness to a total ECLIPSE

Current Moon phase     Any date Moon phase
Lunar Phase Simulator
NASA Eclipse Data     NASA Lunar Eclipse Data





TIMELINE - Initial Discovery - '94/'95;   Circulation - '96 (One Reply);   Since Then - Academia's & NASA's Denials

Until Now


Date: Fri, 23 Oct 2009 14:34:22 +0100 Subject: Think NASA can relax a bit - for a while - was "Cosmic pattern to UK tree growth

Anyone who's run that Orrey or the on-line one forward for next year could tell NASA there _will_ be some small alignments to kick-start the Sun into some activity:  from Jan to June.  [See NASA's "Are Sunspots disappearing"]
...
BTW - Yes I _have_ looked a bit further ahead to 2012,  as there's a transit of Venus expected then ( a closer alignment of Earth - Venus - Sun).  As you might also see, there's a fairly spectacular multiple alignment later in that year, with the Sun being "pulled" (or rather having its structure changed - see below) from several directions at once.
Ray

PS - after re-reading http://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/20070025111_2007025207.pdf
(NASA's closed its files, so see summary here, or a PDF copy here)
am beginning to realize those NASA guys have tried to make a model using "tidal gravity" on the Sun, caused by planets.  So they're looking for planets which are "overhead" at the time of the flare/storm/activity.  That's why their model doesn't quite match major Solar events.

Like I've said in reply on (this) List before - it can't be "gravitational" or even "tidal" (a secondary gravity effect):- a) because the values are too low- see this quote -
"'gravity' effect falls off with SQUARE (2nd power) of distance - so at 4 x distance: "gravity" effect is only 1/16th
the 'tidal' effect falls off with CUBE (3rd power) of distance - so at 4 x distance: "tidal" effect is only 1/64th
gas (repulsion) effect falls off with 5th power of distance - so at 4 x distance: "gas repulsion" effect is only 1/1024th
molecular (attraction) effect falls off with 6th power of distance - so at 4 x distance: "molecular" effect is only 1/4096th"


and
b) my own workings-out (from '94 onwards) say that the effects, both in Sun activity and the seismic ones on Earth, are caused by temporary changes in structural integrity (ie. molecular / electron-atom binding), and that these (primary) effects are probably instantaneous over arbitrary distance, solely dependent on the masses involved, and (slightly) their rotation rates.

and
c) the effects are _not_ limited (by gravity / distance) to alignments of Mercury, Venus, Earth, and Jupiter, as the NASA guys think, calling them "the major tide-producing planets".

As b) above implies, the primary effects are probably instantaneous over arbitrary distance -
i.e. that solar "super-storm" shown at checkalign.html#storm was caused by an alignment involving Saturn, not Jupiter, and happening a week before - not when the `chosen-four' planets were "overhead".  That is, it took about a week for the Sun to `boil-up' in response, and for the results to get to us.
RD


LEAD-UP CORRESPONDENCE BELOW




Date: Tue, 20 Oct 2009 10:52:46 +0100 Subject: "Cosmic pattern to UK tree growth"
Interesting, and more so when we link things up - sunspot activity seems mainly dominated by solar system planetary alignments [go "work of J H Nelson", then "1859 explosion" for the details] - so therefore planetary alignments are affecting organic life on Earth - which might include us.
Ray
news.bbc.co.uk/earth/hi/earth_news/newsid_8311000/8311373.stm
"Cosmic pattern to UK tree growth
The growth of British trees appears to follow a cosmic pattern, with trees growing faster when high levels of cosmic radiation arrive from space."
(more ...)

Date: Tue, 20 Oct 2009 17:14:57 +0100 Subject: Re: "Cosmic pattern to UK tree growth"
*** wrote: > (question)
> "has anyone tried to correlate lineups of the sun, earth and major planets'
> magnetospheres with the sunspot cycles? My spare-time effort found some
> correlation between lineups and cycles in a number of years."


Yup, that link - "work of J H Nelson" would take you to www.enterprisemission.com/jnelson1.html

From [recent] independent reading it seems Nelson had been tasked with finding some pattern behind the solar maxima/minima because they messed up strategic (HF) radio-links.  He found it - in planetary alignments.  But, because he was an engineer, and not a member of the priesthood, mainstream scientists ignored his results.

> (reply)
> "There exists a tempting closeness between the length of the solar cycle and
> the orbital period of Jupiter, but I don't think the two are related..."


Most folk take the `solar-cycle' as an absolute - it's not.  Sources vary but it seems to vary from 9 to 13 yrs, although have read of one or two longer or shorter.  As Jupiter's orbit takes 11.8 yrs, and its effect would necessarily be modulated (varied in amplitude and maybe freq) by any alignments with other planets, largest having most effect - I would personally say it's _very_ likely that Jupiter is the main driver of the solar `cycle'.  That "main driver" also most likely implemented because Jupiter has most of the mass of the solar system - not counting the Sun.

As a matter of interest, the Chinese seemed to've paid great attention to `The Stations of Jupiter' from way back in their astronomy cum astrology history, which is a very long time.

[Maybe] That deserves a bit of clarification.  Began collecting traces of "lost science" some years ago and found that many peoples seem to've discovered one or more scientific correlations and incorporated it/them into their culture / behavior / civilization, only to lose the records of the actual discovery or correlation over the centuries - just preserving the artifacts or behavioural change.

If you have or can get a copy of "The Genius of China" by Robert Temple you might find it's true of the Chinese, perhaps more so than even the Egyptians.

[BTW - the Chinese were observing sunspots from about 400 BCE - but Western `science' was forbidden to to do until the last few hundred years - because the heavens were supposedly "perfect" so talking of sunspots is `heresy' and you're burnt at the stake.]

In the book you'll find the Chinese now have unexplainable ancient artifacts like those `resonating bronze bowls' (large ones like ceremonial wine-mixing bowls from Greece and Rome) - but no-one knows how or why they were made.  Nor if their `resonating' traits are the only secrets built into them.  Nor what those secrets might be for.

More important perhaps, 2000 yrs ago they'd devised a method of optimizing the Emperor's chance of siring children by his main wife, and then by the secondary wives.  Here's his (lunar monthly) schedule -
"First night = the Empress, next night = the 3 consorts, next night = the 9 spouses, next three nights = the 27 concubines (9 per night), next nine nights = the 81 assistant concubines (9 per night). On the 16th night the Empress again and so on to the end of the [lunar?] month.!"

Clearly the intention was to put the most important mating at the Full Moon (aligns at midnight)  and to give a second chance on 15th or 16th day  (I think the astronomers were probably adjusting the schedule as and when)  when the New Moon also gives a mid-day mating an advantage, although less than the Full Moon's night-time one.
[Anthropologists might remember that many ancient world-wide fertility rituals were held at the Full Moon - and probably still are!]

So when we know that the very ancient Chinese were most concerned with the `stations of Jupiter' we might think they'd earlier noticed some correlation of Jupiter's position with a rare Earthly phenomenon - probably _not_ a beneficial one.
Ray

Date: Tue, 20 Oct 2009 22:03:12 +0100 Subject: Re: Re: "Cosmic pattern to UK tree growth"
Rob *** wrote:
> It seems there might be something odd going on here - this NASA paper claims
> some statistical significance between planetary alignments and solar activity:
> http://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/20070025111_2007025207.pdf
(NASA's closed its files, so see summary here, or a PDF copy here)

Thanks - hadn't seen that.  Yup, looks like they're maybe ready to admit the correlation, nearly 70 yrs late for Nelson (and ten to 20 yrs late for me).  I like the confessional tone of this bit - "despite the widely accepted thought that believes otherwise.  Evidence of apparent relations between planet positions and solar activity was observed and presented:"
Ray

quote
"Conclusions
In view of the statistics and the issues presented and discussed in this report, one must acknowledge the possibility that some type of tide-solar activity relation may truly exist, despite the widely accepted thought that believes otherwise. Evidence of apparent relations between planet positions and solar activity was observed and presented:"

unquote

Date: Tue, 20 Oct 2009 22:16:40 +0100 Subject: Re: Re: "Cosmic pattern to UK tree growth"

In case anybody misses it, they used their own "orrery" (or equivalent) to look at the planetary alignments ahead - here's the quote (and they got the right answer, as we now know!) -

"Looking into the future, it is nearing the solar minimum now (summer 2007), but the planet alignment will not reach minimum until 2012 (fig. 4).  The apparent mismatch between these two minima would indicate these two cycles are out of step, and therefore a low sunspot number would be forecasted in the coming solar cycle 24, unless the current solar minimum would last for a few more years to reduce this mismatch."

And yes, there _is_ an "unexpected" dearth of sunspots just now - see "Are Sunspots disappearing" (from NASA) at science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2009/03sep_sunspots.htm and the charts at spaceweather.com/glossary/sunspotnumber.html

Ray


Update - Aug 2011 - Catch-up re: `Planetary alignments affecting the Sun'

Update - Dec 2012 - Catch-up re: `Planetary alignments affecting the Sun'

Update - Aug 2013 - Catch-up re: `Planetary alignments affecting the Sun'




REPLY - from ARTHUR C CLARKE

Reply from Arthur C Clarke

Was impressed by ARTHUR C CLARKE's consideration - Being quite ill, he had to send form-letter replies to most folk.



Sky and earth both produce portents;
though appearing separately, they are not separate
sky and earth are related

Babylonian astronomer's manual c.800 BCE



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